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Opinion: You’re Not Going To Die!

Posted by John Doherty on January 24, 2020

I should say, you’re probably not going to die today...

Every few years or so, the CDC comes out and absolutely terrifies the American public with a new killer disease warning. Right now it’s a particular strain of Coronavirus coming out of China. Symptoms of Coronavirus are very similar to those of the common cold; runny nose, fever, cough, sore throat, often leading to pneumonia, and it’s spread through direct contact with an infected person.

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Topics: Market Updates, Trading Plan, Stocks, video, Market Forecast, Coronavirus

Are You Trying To Pick Tops?

Posted by John Doherty on January 13, 2020

I went out on a limb during Monday morning’s Market Forecast video by saying that the January Break started with the poor jobs report Friday. It was my first contribution to the daily video, and since it wasn’t a very good call, hopefully it won’t be my last. In hindsight, coming out swinging on my first day telling people to short the S&P probably wasn’t the best way to kick things off.

On a quiet news day, a thin-to-win type of trading environment took over, and before the noon hour struck (Central Time) my early call for a pullback was turned to dust. Even though the S&P 500 futures didn't print a new high until near the close, I don’t feel vindicated in the least bit. I know I’m toast on this one. The old adage that says you should “never short a quiet market” rings as true today as the first day it was written.

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Topics: Market Updates, Trader Behavior, Trading Lessons, Trading Psychology, Futures, Equities, E-Mini S&P, Trading Education, Stocks, video, Market Forecast

More Highs Please!

Posted by TopstepTrader on January 09, 2020

Got another one this morning! After the 8:30 CT bell, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures both notched another high print on their belts. Dow futures came close, falling shy by just a few ticks, and then came roaring back about an hour later to complete the trifecta! 

I wouldn’t necessarily say we’re off to a booming start, but the S&P 500 futures are up just over 1% since the Dec. 31 close, and has printed a new all-time high in 4 of the 6 trading sessions so far this year.

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Topics: Market Updates, Futures, Equities, Nasdaq, E-Mini S&P, Stocks, Dow

Resilience Is a Thing

Posted by TopstepTrader on January 06, 2020

After sustaining early losses before markets in Asia closed early Monday morning, stocks in the U.S. and Europe slowly began to recover, with the biggest boost coming right on the 8:30 CT opening bell. In the first 2 hours of regular trading hours (RTH), the S&P 500 futures had rallied more than 20 handles, and the Dow and Nasdaq followed close behind.

It’s debatable to say which sector was really the front runner, but most people will say it was tech. In the same time period that the S&P rallied 20 handles, the Nasdaq rallied more than 200 points, with Amazon and Cisco leading the charge.

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Topics: Market Updates, Futures, Equities, E-Mini S&P, Stocks

Will Santa Show For Stocks?

Posted by TopstepTrader on January 02, 2020

ALL-TIME HIGHS! At least in Dow, Nasdaq and S&P Futures. Thanks Santa! 

But how much value does Santa really bring to the stock market after his rally? Well, according to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, the S&P 500 has a high historical probability of posting an average gain of 1.3% in the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the new year (The Santa Claus Rally). 

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Topics: Market Updates, Futures, Equities, E-Mini S&P, Stocks, Holidays

The Complete Beginner's Guide to Market Internals

Posted by Pat Crawley on December 08, 2019

Looking at market internals is like looking under the hood of a car. From outside the vehicle, you can see a lot. If the car is making odd noises, if smoke is emitting from the exhaust pipe, and so on. But to know what is going on with the engine, you have to pop the hood. The same is true of the stock market.

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Topics: Trading Plan, Futures, E-Mini S&P, Stocks, Indicators

3 Indicators ES Traders Need to Watch

Posted by Pat Crawley on December 01, 2019

The SierraChart platform alone has about 400 technical indicators, with hundreds more available to purchase from third-party vendors. Beyond the realm of technical indicators, you can use other securities or indexes as an indicator for the security your trading.

The point I'm trying to get across here is that the signal-to-noise ratio in the trading world is abysmal. At each corner you turn, someone is trying to sell you an indicator, a system, alerts, chat rooms, and so on. Just a handful of these tools of the thousands of options you have are valuable.

In this article, we look at three indicators that /ES traders can use to reduce the noise they experience from indicator overload: VWAP with standard deviation bands, the TICK index, and market profile.

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Topics: Trading Plan, Futures, E-Mini S&P, Stocks, Indicators

Stocks vs. Futures: A Guide for Retail Traders

Posted by Pat Crawley on November 17, 2019

Most of us start our trading journey with stocks. It's the most obvious choice because it's the only financial product that most of the general population understands. Our parents might have had shares, we learned about stocks in our high school economics class, and we're familiar with many of the largest companies in the stock market like Apple, Google, and ExxonMobil.

Of those traders who stick it out long enough to learn about other products, such as futures, many end up making the move away from stocks.

If you're considering moving from stocks to futures, it's worth understanding the differences between the two products so you can practically make the transition without surprises or regrets.

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Topics: Trading Plan, Futures, Stocks

31 Thoughts About the S&P  Hitting 3,100

Posted by Jack P. on November 12, 2019

Perhaps you noticed that the S&P 500 hit 3,100 for the first time today? If you did not, let me assure you that this is indeed a thing that happened (albeit briefly).

In no particular order, here are 31 thoughts and questions that came to mind as we witnessed the index break this purely psychological barrier. 

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Topics: Futures, E-Mini S&P, Stocks, Random Thoughts, Lists

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