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A Magic Number for the S&P 500… 2800?

Posted by TopstepTrader on March 21, 2019

Market predictions are all over the map after the jaw-dropping fall and rebound in the S&P 500 over the past six months. Some believe the market’s 14% swoon in the fourth quarter 2018 was unjustified given that the U.S. economy remains strong.

Others worry that, after a 13.3% year-to-date rebound, the market has rallied too fast given recent signs that the economy and earnings growth are slowing. The net result is an environment where price action remains headline-driven, with several key levels to watch heading into Q2.

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Topics: Market Updates, volatility, economic data, economic data reports

Fast Action as Gold Reaches 10-Month Highs

Posted by TopstepTrader on February 25, 2019

Looking for volatility? Keep an eye on the metals market and the price action in Gold. While the yellow metal has been grinding higher over the past few months, wide intraday swings sent prices higher and lower last week. The wild action has some players wondering if Gold is ready to reach new highs.

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Topics: Gold, Metals, volatility

How the Shutdown Is Worrying Traders Now (And Why It Shouldn’t)

Posted by TopstepTrader on January 14, 2019

Image Source: Wikimedia Commons

We wrote earlier this week about how large government crises, like the ongoing government shutdown, rarely correlate with increased volatility, encouraging traders to remain disciplined and stick to their strategy. We stand by that.

But as we mentioned in that post, just because these events don’t always correlate with increased volatility doesn’t mean they don’t impact the economy or the way we interact with the markets. There are a whole lot of people out there who missed a paycheck Friday as a result of Washington’s stalemate, and while that’s tragic in and of itself, it could have broader implications for the economy.

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Topics: volatility, trading strategy, shutdown, economic data reports

Contemplating Volatility in Your 2019 Trading Strategy

Posted by TopstepTrader on January 09, 2019

December 2018 saw a major surge in market volatility, with the S&P 500 plunging more than 14% at the bottom and the VIX jumping over 68% at its height in the month. While things have settled down some since the start of January, the spectre of volatility looms, everpresent, raising the question: how do you deal with it?

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Topics: Futures, volatility, trading strategy

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