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Posted by John D. on April 28, 2020

What Happened to Crude Oil?

Hedgers and speculators rely on two standards of light sweet crude oil to determine futures prices. In the US, we set pricing models based on production of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil,...

Posted by John D. on April 15, 2020

Could The Bottom Be In For Stocks?

With the amount of doubt and uncertainty still weighing heavy on the world, how is it that the stock market has been able to stage such a strong and impressive comeback? More importantly, is this...

Posted by Fair Value Trader on April 09, 2020

Commodity Currencies Enjoy The Weak Dollar

Back in late January when the COVID19 crisis was just beginning to sprout legs, we looked at commodity performance during the 2003 SARS outbreak and concluded that this developing pandemic...

Posted by John D. on April 06, 2020

Marching Into April

Is it just me, or did March feel like it was 3 months long? We sure had a lot thrown at us in those 31 days, and the full scope of the true damage will remain uncertain for quite a while yet. It...

Posted by Fair Value Trader on April 05, 2020

Stay Motivated

Following last week’s record uptick of 3.3 million jobless claims, which was nearly five times the previous record, this week, the weekly jobless claims for the final full week of March came in at...

Posted by Fair Value Trader on March 26, 2020

Unemployment Numbers as Long Term Barometers

This morning the weekly jobless claims were released as usual at 8:30 am EST in the United States. This figure is a calculation of all who in the prior week filed initial jobless claims with their...

Posted by Fair Value Trader on March 20, 2020

Sun Tzu and Dead Cat Bounces

One of the things that happens to traders when they watch screens all day is that we are at times prone to losing long term perspective by watching short term price fluctuations. Depending on...

Posted by John D. on March 17, 2020

Short Selling Bans and Survival Tactics

To say there is a lot of confusion out there right now would probably be the understatement of the month. After the Dow Jones recorded its worst daily performance since 1987 on Monday, equity...

Posted by John D. on March 16, 2020

Fed Makes a Statement With More Rate Cuts

We Are Taking This Very Seriously

These are historic moves we’re witnessing. Get your stories straight, because we’re going to be talking about this for many years to come. The stock market is...

Posted by John D. on March 09, 2020

Virus Triggers Stock Dump and Trade Halt

Was today the first time you’ve woken up to see the equity futures locked limit down? It’s a terrifying thing to see. Friday’s strong close probably did a pretty good job of fooling traders into...

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