The first half of 2019 is in the history books and, after solid gains in the first quarter, stocks and bonds added to the bullish trend in Q2. Crude Oil was little changed and Gold was a bright spot as the commodities market saw mixed action over the past three months. Lastly, many interesting stories were told in the currency markets, including a 220% surge in Bitcoin.
Crude rose to its best levels in June as escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran fueled large gains on Thursday and Friday. Prices are now testing key technical levels and price action will likely remain headline-driven heading into an OPEC meeting in early July.
Topics: Crude Oil
Stocks and bonds have been rallying, while yields fall and the Dollar slips, as weak economic data fuels expectations that the Federal Reserve will aggressively cut rates later in the year. That theory will be tested when the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets later this week.
Crude Oil failed to rebound following inventory data this week and has dropped nearly 10%, or $6 per barrel, during the month of May. It’s trying to hold a key technical support, but ongoing trade war concerns and a looming OPEC meeting might keep a lid on short-term rally attempts.
Studies show that we, as human beings, feel the sting from losses to a greater degree than the sense of gratification from winning. That means we would rather not lose than actually win. For that reason, traders sometimes make the mistake of cutting winners too soon and letting losers run. It’s a form of self-sabotage that has ruined more than one trading account.
Time for earnings. Several large banks release results on Friday, and the floodgates on first-quarter reports open wide the following week. With the S&P 500 up sharply year to date, the rally will be tested when companies discuss the outlook for the remainder of 2019.
Here's why that matters.
After experiencing losses last year, almost every asset class is moving higher through the first quarter 2019. Stocks are rallying. Bonds are bid. The dollar is up. But the biggest gains have been in the energy sector, including a sharp rebound in the price of Crude Oil.
Crude oil is moving to its best levels in months, and an upward trend channel on the chart suggests there’s more room to run.
After falling sharply in the final few months of last year, prices hit a bottom in the Christmas Eve Massacre before a sharp move higher in the first two months of this year. The new mantra as the uptrend takes shape has been “buy the dip” and stands in stark contrast to the bearish sentiment that beset crude oil prices in late 2018.
Not happy with what you're paying at the gas pump? President Trump is on the case.
President Trump is known for his free spirited Twitter feed. And he occasionally uses it to measure how much influence he has on the price of Crude Oil. Monday morning was the latest example, when he blasted OPEC for keeping prices too high.
The Tweet had an initial impact, but did little to arrest the recent increase in Crude Oil's price. Let's take a look.
Topics: Crude Oil
Our traders are making big and small moves every single day to boost their earnings and further cultivate their trading skills. Every now and then, a trade stands out to us as particularly smart. It’s not always about the most profitable trades, but ones that demonstrate discipline and steady insight. This week's notable trade is a perfect example.